current weather forecast

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Uncle Jesse
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current weather forecast

Post by Uncle Jesse » Mon Dec 31, 2007 11:43 pm

:shock:
UPPER LEVEL HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE AXIS ALONG THE COAST WILL BE MOVING INLAND AND INTO THE GREAT BASIN THROUGH TUE...AND THEN INTO THE MID SECTION OF THE U.S. BY MID WEEK. SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE GREAT BASIN...AND THEN INTO CO WHERE IT IS FORECAST TO STRENGTHEN TO A 1055-1056 MBS HIGH CENTER. CAN`T REMEMBER ONE THAT STRONG OVER THE LOWER 48.

A BOMB OF A SURFACE LOW (959 MB TO 965 MB DEPENDING ON WHICH MODEL YOU BELIEVE) IS OFF THE WASHINGTON COAST FRIDAY AFTERNOON. THE GFS HAS AN INCREDIBLE UPPER DIVERGENCE / LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE COUPLET MOVING THROUGH THE REGION AHEAD OF A 500MB COLD POOL OF -30C FRIDAY. SNOW LEVELS WILL PLUNGE TO 3000 FEET BEHIND THE COLD FRONT FRIDAY NIGHT. ADDITIONALLY...A CORE OF 70KT WINDS AT 850MB MOVES OVER THE SAC VALLEY...AND MAY FOCUS VERY HEAVY RAINS
If only the best birds sang, the woods would be silent.

arkansas
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Post by arkansas » Tue Jan 01, 2008 7:24 am

I should have stayed in school. :(

Uncle Jesse
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well

Post by Uncle Jesse » Tue Jan 01, 2008 10:36 am

80 knot winds in the valley (don't ask me what it's gonna be like in the mountains), snow levels to 1,000 feet and up to 10 feet of snow expected at the higher elevations of the Sierra with blizzard strength winds.
If only the best birds sang, the woods would be silent.

HookLine
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Post by HookLine » Tue Jan 01, 2008 11:11 am

I got 10 inches of rain in 24 hours a couple of days ago.
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yeh

Post by Uncle Jesse » Tue Jan 01, 2008 11:18 am

Rain isn't a big deal. We average over 75 inches a year here. But we need the snow and normally we don't get the high winds. If we don't get more snow, southern California won't have as much water to steal from us and their swimming pools in the desert will be more costly to keep filled.
If only the best birds sang, the woods would be silent.

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Re: yeh

Post by HookLine » Tue Jan 01, 2008 11:41 am

Uncle Jesse wrote:If we don't get more snow, southern California won't have as much water to steal from us and their swimming pools in the desert will be more costly to keep filled.
:lol:

Which state are you in?

We get about the same amount of annual rain as you, but almost all of it falls in about 3 months in huge tropical monsoon storms.
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Butch50
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Post by Butch50 » Tue Jan 01, 2008 11:46 am

Rain isn't a big deal. We average over 75 inches a year here. But we need the snow and normally we don't get the high winds. If we don't get more snow, southern California won't have as much water to steal from us and their swimming pools in the desert will be more costly to keep filled.


It better snow then, or else they will all move up there where you are due to swimming pool withdrawal.
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Uncle Jesse
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nah

Post by Uncle Jesse » Tue Jan 01, 2008 1:18 pm

I'm in Northern California. Southern Californian's won't move up here because we don't make googie-eyes at them based on the cost of their car.
If only the best birds sang, the woods would be silent.

Butch50
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Post by Butch50 » Tue Jan 01, 2008 3:09 pm

Keep up the good work, don't make eyes at em.
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Re: nah

Post by mtnwalker2 » Tue Jan 01, 2008 3:31 pm

Uncle Jesse wrote:I'm in Northern California. Southern Californian's won't move up here because we don't make googie-eyes at them based on the cost of their car.
Talk here in the Smokies, of haveing an open season on some of them. Mount the grills on the wall, and use the hoods as shingles on the barn. High priced scrap metal for the rest. Hopeing it would pay enought to be better than some of these boys hunting bears to sell the gall bladders.
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>habit" Aristotle

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Post by Ricky » Tue Jan 01, 2008 4:59 pm

Talk here in the Smokies, of haveing an open season on some of them. Mount the grills on the wall, and use the hoods as shingles on the barn. High priced scrap metal for the rest. Hopeing it would pay enought to be better than some of these boys hunting bears to sell the gall bladders.
:shock: :lol: 8)
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tracker0945
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Post by tracker0945 » Tue Jan 01, 2008 7:51 pm

Interstate rivalry??? I cant believe it.
No such thing happens in Oz between us Mexicans, Banana Benders, Sand Gropers, etc.
Tsk, Tsk, Tsk :roll: :roll: :roll:
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Post by Aidas » Tue Jan 01, 2008 10:11 pm

That's a hell of a forecast. Complete white-out conditions... With a gale like that, the lines are all going to ice-up, and if they don't they'll go down because the poles do. Sounds like the great plains and the midwest are in for a bad time tommorrow.

California should have had it by now. UJ, what's the update?

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Post by Butch50 » Wed Jan 02, 2008 8:35 am

PICTURES FROM SPACE SHOWING A WELL DEFINED FRONT AT AROUND 130W EARLY THIS MORNING. THIS FRONT WILL SLOWLY MOVE EAST PARKING ITSELF JUST OFF THE COAST IN A SOUTHWEST TO NORTHEAST ALIGHNMENT. PRIMARY FORECAST MODELS IN GOOD AGREEMENT IN STALLING THIS FEATURE WITH ONLY LIGHT RAIN SCRAPING THE EXTREME NORTH COAST NEAR THE ORCA BORDER FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS OR SO. LIGHT RAIN MAY REACH THE COAST NORTH OF KLAMATH THIS AFTERNOON BUT WILL MORE LIKELY BE FOCUSED NEAR CRESCENT CITY AND NORTHWARD. UPSTREAM IS A MORE IMPRESSIVE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WHICH WILL BE THE KICKER NEEDED TO FINALLY PUSH THE CURRENT FRONT EASTWARD AND FINALLY BRING RAIN TO ALL AREAS ON THURSDAY. ON THE HEELS OF THE CURRENT RAIN PRODUCING FRONT WILL BE A VERY COLD AIRMASS AND WHAT ARGUABLY MAY BE STRONG FRONTOGENESIS OFF THE COAST. THIS NEW COLD FRONT WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY STRONG SOUTHERLY WINDS AND MAY WARRANT A STORM WARNING OVER THE COASTAL WATERS AND A POSSIBLE WIND ADVISORY FOR THE REDWOOD COAST. MORE RAIN IS EXPECTED WITH THIS FEATURE BUT MORE IMPRESSIVELY IS THE COLD AIR ASSOCIATED WITH THE UPPER TROUGH. ONE OF THE COLDER SYSTEMS WE'VE EXPERIENCED THIS WINTER. 1000-500MB THICKNESS DOWN TO 520DM WOULD SUPPORT SNOW DOWN TO NEAR 1500 FEET. THUS A VERY COLD WEEKEND LOOKS TO BE IN STORE FOR MUCH OF NORTHWEST CALIFORNIA. TOWARD NEXT WEEK...A BRIEF BREAK IN THE WET AND COLD PATTERN IS DEPCICTED BY LONGER RANGE MODELS AS A A SHORTWAVE RIDGE BUILDS OVER THE NE PACIFIC TUESDAY.
Stock up on firewood.
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Uncle Jesse
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well

Post by Uncle Jesse » Wed Jan 02, 2008 8:53 am

It hasn't hit yet. First storm moves in tomorrow. When storms pause off the coast it _usually_ means they are picking up steam. And with that huge difference in pressure it's pulling cold from Alaska and moisture from near Mexico so we'll get dumped on.

Some time next week I'd guess this system will work its way out to the plains and there will be some major storms. At least that's how it normally seems to go but I'm no meteorologist.

As for Southern California...remember our Northern rallying cry: Save Mono Lake!
If only the best birds sang, the woods would be silent.

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Post by wineo » Wed Jan 02, 2008 10:00 am

Here in southern indiana it was 54f 2 days ago.Its 14f now.There calling for 50s again by friday or saturday.The arctic air has made it all the way to florida.Its in the 40s there.

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Post by Old_Blue » Thu Jan 03, 2008 4:58 pm

Uncle Jessie

I think this is what you're talking about
http://www.cnn.com/2008/US/weather/01/0 ... index.html" onclick="window.open(this.href);return false;" rel="nofollow

Y'all be safe out there.
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Uncle Jesse
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yeh

Post by Uncle Jesse » Thu Jan 03, 2008 5:25 pm

It's just starting really. It's supposed to pick up soon. Gonna be a few incense cedar branches on the ground I'm sure
If only the best birds sang, the woods would be silent.

Uncle Jesse
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...

Post by Uncle Jesse » Fri Jan 04, 2008 6:06 am

I thought you guys might like this. The rain is starting to get heavy. I live in the county that looks like the state of Texas upside down.

Image
If only the best birds sang, the woods would be silent.

showrguy
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Post by showrguy » Fri Jan 04, 2008 6:29 am

just checked your forecast uncle jesse, atleast it's rain and not snow !!

oh, and thanks for posting the link to AGR in another thread, i talked to Arron, i've got all the dealer info now....... need to do more reaserch before i jump in..

HookLine
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Post by HookLine » Fri Jan 04, 2008 6:40 am

Must be catching.

100 km/h wind gusts, and nudging 600 mm of rain just in the last week at my place, and no end in sight.

Not waving, drowning.
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Uncle Jesse
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yeh

Post by Uncle Jesse » Fri Jan 04, 2008 6:52 am

snow is supposed to start tomorrow. snow levels are pretty high at the moment with this storm. supposed to drop dramatically tomorrow.

if homedistiller goes down, you guys know why!
If only the best birds sang, the woods would be silent.

Uncle Jesse
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well

Post by Uncle Jesse » Sat Jan 05, 2008 5:17 pm

that was quite a storm. and almost 36 hours without power. the snow is supposed to start soon.
If only the best birds sang, the woods would be silent.

tracker0945
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Post by tracker0945 » Sat Jan 05, 2008 5:55 pm

Ahhhh, so that was the problem with the site, I was starting to have withdrawal symptoms.
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HookLine
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Post by HookLine » Sat Jan 05, 2008 7:02 pm

And I thought it was just me. We lost power for about 14 hours here. But everything is back on line now. Even getting some sun for first time in ten days or so. :D

No damage there, UJ?
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Uncle Jesse
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nah

Post by Uncle Jesse » Sat Jan 05, 2008 7:08 pm

some good sized branches fell off the incense cedars but that's about it. my parents live nearby and one of their redwoods snapped in half. a 30 foot piece broke off the top of a tree and fell on the lawn side of the porch fortunately. It took every branch off another tree on the way down.
If only the best birds sang, the woods would be silent.

HookLine
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Post by HookLine » Sat Jan 05, 2008 7:16 pm

Lots of big trees down here, including some 30 year old, 25 ton monsters, straight on top of houses. Root systems torn right out of the ground. Nobody hurt though. Some folk will insist on planting big shallow rooted trees around their house. :roll:

My place is fine, I had fires through a couple years back that took out all the dead wood and weak trees.
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Post by Butch50 » Sat Jan 05, 2008 7:51 pm

Glad to hear you are both OK.

Close one on your Parents Jesse, really gald that they are OK.
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Uncle Jesse
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ack

Post by Uncle Jesse » Sun Jan 06, 2008 9:37 am

well we lost power 4-5 times since then but nothing long lasting enough to outlast the UPS.
If only the best birds sang, the woods would be silent.

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Post by cannon.co.tn » Mon Jan 07, 2008 11:46 pm

Glad it's over. We had some 100 mph winds here on the SF Peninsula too. Pretty nasty storm for these parts.
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